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Personal Finance

Tail Risk – A Quick Guide

I’ve been incorporating ‘Tail Risk’ ETFs into my portfolios for some time now, specifically TAIL in the Model Portfolio and TAIL, CAOS, and BTAL in my personal portfolio. Given the current market conditions, it feels like an opportune moment—or perhaps Read more

By TheItalianLeatherSofa, 8 monthsApril 15, 2025 ago
Personal Finance

Model Portfolio Quarterly Update

In April 2022, I introduced on this blog The Italian Leather Sofa Model Portfolio. As a reminder, here is the portfolio composition: The idea behind the portfolio is stolen from here. The link offers the best explanation to what I think Read more

By TheItalianLeatherSofa, 8 monthsApril 5, 2025 ago
Personal Finance

Regime-Based Investing, ep 2

Man AHL dropped a new paper on regime-based investing (link). Think of it as the overachiever’s version of lazy portfolios. Instead of building a portfolio that’s resilient across economic regimes—like the Permanent Portfolio—this approach tries to front-run reality. If we’re Read more

By TheItalianLeatherSofa, 9 monthsMarch 30, 2025 ago
Personal Finance

Dissecting the 60/40

The CFA Institute produced a detailed report on the historical performance of the 60/40 portfolio (here the link). While the breadth of this study is not as ample as other works, think of the UBS Yearbook, I found some interesting Read more

By TheItalianLeatherSofa, 9 monthsMarch 21, 2025 ago
Personal Finance

Black Mirror IRL

I want to talk to you about a crazy experiment. Years ago, an Italian blogger-now-YTer started sharing all his “financial life” in the open, to everyone. I virtually met him because of this experiment, and then I physically met him Read more

By TheItalianLeatherSofa, 9 monthsMarch 13, 2025 ago
Personal Finance

Investing is an Inherently Probabilistic Activity

Ever since I devoured “The Success Equation” on a sun-drenched beach in Malaysia, I’ve eagerly anticipated every new piece from Michael Mauboussin. There’s something about his work that push the intellect, perhaps tinged with the nostalgia of that Malaysian coastline. Read more

By TheItalianLeatherSofa, 9 monthsMarch 4, 2025 ago
Personal Finance

Why your retirement calculator is broken

I wrote the below post more than 4 years ago. And it still feels super relevant. Ok, enough with the excuses. It is a busy period and it’s been two months at least I do not manage to stay healthy Read more

By TheItalianLeatherSofa, 10 monthsFebruary 21, 2025 ago
Personal Finance

How to Choose an Asset Allocation

As someone who runs (hahaha) a podcast, I am in awe of how the guys behind the Rational Reminder continue to find interesting topics to review after more than 300 episodes. Someone said that personal finance was a solved problem—sure. Read more

By TheItalianLeatherSofa, 10 monthsFebruary 14, 2025 ago
Personal Finance

Reduce Bonds to Reduce Volatility

I like David Dredge’s metaphor of a portfolio like a racing car: you do not need to reduce cruise speed when you have brakes. The 60/40 is a car moving always at the same speed, the one that would keep Read more

By TheItalianLeatherSofa, 10 monthsFebruary 5, 2025 ago
Personal Finance

The Lifecycle Model Vs SWR

A few weeks ago The Rational Reminder podcast did an episode on the Lifecycle Model. The episode features Ben Matthew, an economist with a PhD from the University of Chicago, who has developed a financial planning tool based on the Read more

By TheItalianLeatherSofa, 11 monthsJanuary 27, 2025 ago

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