This post was born as a quick reaction to the 2022 Golden Butterfly portfolio performance and then morphed into a collection of thoughts about portfolios, diversifiers, cash vs trend, a levered version of the Permanent Portfolio and…probably other things that will hit my brain while I perform the week-long writing Read more
If you regularly read trading/investing/personal finance stuff, there is a high chance you would, at least once, have stumbled across a title like “Hedge Funds underperform and yet continue to attract capital from investors”. At first (which means 20 years ago) the topic was interesting from a behavioral point of Read more
I had this post in my ‘queue’ for a while; I was hoping to ride a bit of the Netflix wave about the Madoff doc but I had other 3k things going, including surgery so…here we are, finally. The initial flash of inspiration came when I watched this video from Read more
The Safe Withdrawal Rate is one of the most debated concepts about retirement. Why? The human being is a creature that needs certainty. Assurance. Certitude. We cannot accept that what happens to us is simply…random. The existence of humanity itself happened by chance. And yet we created religions, God(s), philosophy, Read more
In April last year, I introduced The Italian Leather Sofa model portfolio. As a reminder, here is the portfolio composition: The idea behind the portfolio is stolen from here. The link offers the best explanation to what I think is the most common question related to it, i.e. why the Read more
“I used to think if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the president or the pope or a .400 baseball hitter. But now I want to come back as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody.” James Carville Tell me you watched The Crown without telling me Read more
In April this year, I introduced The Italian Leather Sofa model portfolio. As a reminder, here is the portfolio composition: 60% stocks (via NTSX) 40% bonds (via NTSX) 20% trend (via DBMF) 10% commodities trend (via COM) 4% Tail risk (via TAIL) -34% cash The idea behind the portfolio is Read more
It has been quite a week (and counting) in the UK. On the 23rd of September, the new UK government delivered their first recipe to revive the UK economy and it was received worse than a foreigner asking for a capuccino-and-steak for dinner in an Italian restaurant. TILS opinion on Read more
It has been a while since I wanted to write about the “low vol” factor. The reason is pretty simple, look how it performed in the last year (white line is the biggest LowVol ETF listed in the US, the blue line is SPY): I invest in LOWV, the UCITS Read more
In April this year, I introduced The Italian Leather Sofa model portfolio. As a reminder, here is the portfolio composition: 60% stocks (via NTSX) 40% bonds (via NTSX) 20% trend (via DBMF) 10% commodities trend (via COM) 4% Tail risk (via TAIL) -34% cash The idea behind the portfolio is Read more