In the world of finance, we are largely taught to worship at the altar of the Law of Large Numbers. The theory is simple: over a long enough time horizon, your investment outcomes will eventually converge toward the historical average. But there’s a problem. You aren’t an “average.” You aren’t Read more
I created the Model Portfolio to turn the complex theories on this blog into a tangible, easy-to-follow roadmap. It’s the definitive answer to the “So, what do I do now?” dilemma. But I don’t just talk the talk, I walk the walk. My private portfolio follows the exact same DNA Read more
n April 2022, I introduced on this blog The Italian Leather Sofa Model Portfolio. As a reminder, here is the portfolio composition: The idea behind the portfolio is stolen from here. The link offers the best explanation of what I think is the most common question related to it, i.e. why Read more
Almost two years ago, I wrote about why diversification isn’t a free lunch. Now, I’m watching everyone pile into gold, and I need to say something. Me that four years ago, inspired by PortfolioCharts, wrote this about gold. But that was back then, when nobody cared. Today? Everyone’s buying it. Read more
“How much income can I count on from my retirement savings?” With traditional pensions, defined benefit plans, becoming as rare as a good plumber, most of us are stuck figuring this out on our own. The math here is brutal. You don’t know how long you’ll live. You don’t know Read more
In April 2022, I introduced on this blog The Italian Leather Sofa Model Portfolio. As a reminder, here is the portfolio composition: The idea behind the portfolio is stolen from here. The link offers the best explanation of what I think is the most common question related to it, i.e. why Read more
On social media, I read many critiques of managed futures strategies…also from people I consider intelligent. These posts got me thinking about a fundamental tension in investing: some of the strategies that work best mathematically are often the hardest to stick with emotionally. The Torture of Positive Skew Managed futures Read more
Here’s what frustrates me about personal financial discourse: lads obsess over the flashy stuff while ignoring the issues that actually matter. Take this post, for example. It highlights a problem that should have everyone paying attention. Why? Every working person is forced to participate in some form of pension or Read more
I found this ETF reading Roger Nusbaum blog. When I first saw the name and website, I instantly dismissed it as a marketing stunt. But Roger continued to mention it, so one day I bit the bullet and dug more. INVESTMENT APPROACHThe Adviser allocates the Fund’s portfolio equally among four Read more
A quick note from our sponsor: me.My coaching service is growing, and the feedback has been consistently positive: thank you! <3 But here’s something interesting: almost everyone who joins finds me through other creators, not through word-of-mouth from past clients. That tells me one of two things: If you’ve benefited Read more