Market predictions may appear foolish, a truth we have long acknowledged. However, dismissing them as utterly devoid of value would be an oversimplification. Though forecasts tend to err more often than not, they possess the capacity to entertain and enlighten. Musing, and writing, about the future is a way to Read more…
“The benefits of diversification have been known for over half a century. In the early 1950s, Harry Markowitz demonstrated that there exists an “optimal” portfolio which has the highest investment return for a given level of risk. For his work, which created the field of modern portfolio theory (“MPT”), Markowitz Read more…
The Idea Farm is a newsletter / research database founded by Meb Faber. If you are a long-time reader of this blog, you know how much I love Meb and if you don’t, I strongly suggest you go and check everything that he does. I have a particularly bad relationship Read more…
On the 18th of October, WisdomTree (finally!!) listed a UCITS version of their ETF NTSX in Europe. If you are wondering what’s NTSX, you must be new around here. “The ETF is designed to deliver a 90% exposure to large-cap US equities and 60% to US Treasury futures, effectively providing a leveraged, Read more…
Personal finance is usually associated with investing. Often with budgeting. Sometimes with taxes. Insurances are a relevant part of the puzzle that is discussed less frequently. As with investing, my understanding of how insurances work, and how they work for me, has changed through time. Here are a few lessons Read more…
The title of this post is a sentence Corey Hoffstein said in a recent podcast episode with Meb Faber. Jeeez how much I miss Pirates of Finance. It is a very simple sentence that highlights how, in many cases, finance adages are not that “simple” to adopt. Corey concluded that Read more…
If you want to undermine investing, you refer to it as gambling. Risk Of Ruin is a podcast that talks about how you can gamble without gambling. It is all about positive expected value and edges. I love the podcast and I particularly loved the last episode called “You Can’t Read more…
Last week I read this FT article about copy trading. I was expecting the routine stories of users that started full of hopes and eventually got rugged: the first part of the piece did not disappoint me. After referring to the usual suspect in this field, eToro, the author mentioned Read more…
Weeks ago I read the following post, which hit straight into my soul (I left the original Italian version, you can find the English version straight after): Quante volte negli anni scorsi abbiamo ascoltato o letto che Europa e Stati Uniti si stavano avviando verso la “giapponesizzazione”.Fiumi di parole sulle Read more…
In April 2022, I introduced on this blog The Italian Leather Sofa Model Portfolio. As a reminder, here is the portfolio composition: The idea behind the portfolio is stolen from here. The link offers the best explanation to what I think is the most common question related to it, i.e. Read more…